OD9 by the Numbers

No international body maintains a formal registry of existential threats with mitigation ownership. The nearest thing humanity has is a civil-society clock: the Doomsday Clock sits at 85 seconds to midnight (Jan 2026) — the closest to catastrophe it has ever been.

New START expired 5 Feb 2026 with no successor and no negotiations even planned — the first time in over 50 years the US and Russian strategic arsenals are under no binding limits. All nine nuclear states are modernizing.

2023–2025 averaged 1.48 ± 0.13°C above pre-industrial — the first three-year span over the Paris threshold; the 11 warmest years on record are the last 11. Atmospheric CO₂ crossed a 430 ppm seasonal peak in May 2025, the highest in over 2 million years.

Average national preparedness scored 38.9/100 in the last full Global Health Security Index (2021) — no country in the top tier. The WHO Pandemic Agreement was adopted in May 2025, but it cannot even open for ratification until its pathogen-access annex is finished — now pushed to May 2027.

8.3% of humanity faced hunger in 2024 — down 15 million from 2023, but still above pre-pandemic levels and rising in Africa and western Asia. 2.3 billion people experienced moderate or severe food insecurity.

9.9% of humanity — 1 in 10 people — lives in extreme poverty (2025, at the World Bank's updated $3.00/day line). The multi-decade trend is real improvement; the remaining gap is a coordination choice, not a resource shortage.

The UN last attempted a global homelessness count in 2005. Current estimates run ~300 million homeless and ~2.8 billion lacking adequate housing — a range so wide it proves the point: a civilization serious about this would measure it. Where measurement exists it can move: US homelessness fell 3.4% in 2025, the first decline in nearly a decade, after a record 771,480 in 2024.

More than half of humanity was not fully covered by essential health services in 2023 — and coverage progress has stalled since 2015. In 2022, 2.1 billion people faced financial hardship from out-of-pocket health costs; 1.6 billion were pushed into or deeper into poverty by them.

UNESCO's 2025 revision moved the out-of-school count UP by 21 million, to 272 million — with less than 1% improvement since the world set the 2030 education goal in 2015. In low-income countries a third of school-age children are out of school, versus 3% in high-income ones.

Humanity runs on ~592 exajoules a year — Kardashev ≈ 0.73 on Sagan's interpolation — but hydrocarbons still supply ~87% of it. The Type I threshold isn't just an energy number: it's reached by a civilization coordinated enough to harness planetary energy CLEANLY without destroying itself first.